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Thursday, February 4, 2010

Take Your Pick: The Predicted Winners of The 82nd Annual Academy Awards on Sunday, March 7    By OMAR P.L. MOORE

AWARDS SEASON 2010

WHO WILL WIN WHO DESERVES TO WIN SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER
BEST PICTURE The Hurt Locker Up In The Air The Messenger
BEST DIRECTOR Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker" Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker" Tom Ford, "A Single Man"
BEST ANIMATED FILM Coraline Coraline A Town Called Panic
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM The White Ribbon (Germany) Un Prophete (France) Los Abrazos Rotos (Spain)


                                     

WHO WILL WIN WHO DESERVES TO WIN SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER
BEST ACTRESS Sandra Bullock, "The Blind Side" Meryl Streep, "Julie & Julia" Robin Wright Penn, "The Private Lives Of Pippa Lee"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Mo'Nique, "Precious" Mo'Nique, "Precious" Marion Cotillard, "Nine"
BEST ACTOR Jeff Bridges, "Crazy Heart" Colin Firth, "A Single Man" Ben Foster, "The Messenger"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Christoph Waltz, "Inglourious Basterds" Christoph Waltz, "Inglourious Basterds" Christian McKay, "Me And Orson Welles"

                                     

  WHO WILL WIN WHO DESERVES TO WIN SHOULDA BEEN A CONTENDER
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Mauro Fiore, "Avatar" Christian Berger, "The White Ribbon" Pete Kozachik, "Coraline"
BEST SCREENPLAY-ORIGINAL Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds" Quentin Tarantino, "Inglourious Basterds" Michael Haneke, "The White Ribbon"
BEST SCREENPLAY-ADAPTED Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, "Up In The Air" Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, "Up In The Air" Tom Ford and David Scearce, "A Single Man"
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE The Cove The Cove Anvil: The Story Of Anvil



                                                      
                                        The Hurt Locker                                                                          Inglourious Basterds                                                        Precious

Analysis

BEST PICTURE - The Hurt Locker resists posturing, it throws us headlong into a resonant and engaging story.  Small in scale, big in ideas, dialogue and performances, it's adult, and it's right now.

BEST DIRECTOR - The Academy will make history - sadly it will have taken 81 years before a woman (Kathryn Bigelow) will be recognized as best director.  Each moment of "The Hurt Locker" was framed beautifully, without fetish, and only skill and precision in all of its evocative moments and indelible power.

BEST ANIMATED FILM - Hands down, it's "Coraline", an instant classic from Henry Selick.  Completely original in vision and imagination.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - "The White Ribbon" is spellbinding.  Its black and white look makes it timeless and compelling.  An adult tale that has classic written all over it.  The Academy will honor this film on the night.

BEST ACTRESS - Sandra Bullock in a role which faintly keeps the weak "Blind Side" alive.  Ms. Bullock is well-liked, as is her performance, which is to the film what Julia Roberts' work was to "Erin Brockovich".  Ms. Bullock's box-office year (three films, two earning over $100 million each) won't hurt.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Mo'Nique is so head-and-shoulders above the rest in the category, and there should have been other names instead of some of those included in it.  As Mary in "Precious", Mo'Nique is frightening, but the second half of Mr. Daniels' film is where she really shines - and earns the Oscar.

BEST ACTOR - Jeff Bridges has been nominated at least three other times and this will be the charm - a physical performance without physical excess, the character of Bad Blake is inhabited with such ease and lack of vanity.  Mr. Bridges is well-liked and the family dynasty well-respected in Hollywood.  It won't be crazy for Academy members to say yes to a heartfelt and layered performance.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Christoph Waltz managed to be cerebral, terrifying, calculating and irresistibly entertaining as Nazi Colonel Hans Landa amidst the madness and zany satirical frolic of "Inglourious Basterds".  A great performance that the Academy won't resist.  The biggest prize of the night for the film.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - Mauro Fiore will pick up "Avatar"'s biggest win.  The look of the film is the only reason for its gargantuan box office take and its visuals will be richly rewarded.

BEST SCREENPLAY-ORIGINAL - Quentin Tarantino will win his second Oscar in screenwriting for his wacky, wild and wonderfully wicked "Inglourious Basterds".  The theatrical and expositional dialogue typical of Mr. Tarantino served him especially well in several scenes of this film.  The Academy didn't mind seeing the Nazis get all they could handle and the director's unmistakable ear for speech is priceless.

BEST SCREENPLAY-ADAPTED - Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner turned a book by Walter Kirn into a different story altogether and some sequences of dialogue (mostly Mr. Clooney's) are phenomenally funny and introspective.  Tragedy, comedy and irony, which the Academy loves.  There's almost a Capra-esque feel to "Up In The Air", and the screenplay is a big reason why.

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - The Cove combined a message, activism, adventure, espionage, intrigue and a riveting, powerful and unflinching look at an urgent crisis, all wrapped up in an entertaining and thought-provoking, if hard-to-watch film.  The Academy likes causes, and like such past winners as "Bowling For Columbine", the body of near-6000 people will have a soft spot for an amazing documentary.
    

                    
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