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Christmas In July?  Try Summer In January For Two Unlikely Blockbuster Hit Movies


Box office bulls eye: Liam Neeson in "Taken" and, right, Kevin James in "Paul Blart: Mall Cop".  Both are January releases with low budgets released two weeks apart, and reaping huge rewards domestically at the box-office, three months later.  (Photos: Twentieth Century Fox and Sony Pictures respectively)

By Omar P.L. Moore/PopcornReel.com   SHARE
Monday, April 6, 2009


Who says you have to wait until the summer for action blockbusters or sleeper hits?  Just add January (and the current economic recession) and you as an opportunistic Hollywood studio mogul may just find yourself reaping huge benefits.  "Paul Blart: Mall Cop" and "Taken", released in January two weeks apart in North America, have struck gold and are still going strong at the U.S.-Canada box office as the calendar hits April, dropping off only marginally each weekend in the case of "Taken".  To date both films have grossed near or over $140 million in the U.S. and Canada alone.

Clearly, the adverse economic conditions of the moment have to take the credit (pardon the pun) for the surge of popularity in movie titles that wouldn't otherwise be on the radar screen in January, a month traditionally cited in Hollywood as the most forgettable, where abandoned or delayed releases from the previous year are showcased just enough to die a swift death.  Studios typically cut their losses with these types of films, but in 2009 the month of January has meant golden profits. 

In some ways the growing audiences for films in troubled financial times are nothing new, as in the late 1920s and early 1930s in America when the Great Depression took hold, movies were the great escape, and business boomed.  And with the most recent economic crisis, now global, films have once again taken center stage as a headquarters for cathartic release and escapism.  And amazingly, just a few years after talk in Tinseltown that the domestic box office was beginning to sag, a potent revival to big studio coffers has come at just the right moment.  According to recent statistics provided by Exhibitor Relations, a Los Angeles-based company that tracks North America box office gross receipts, the box office for this past weekend was 89 percent higher than the corresponding weekend in 2008.  And year-to-date the box office is running almost 10% higher than at the same point in time last year, as of yesterday, with a 9.6% increase according to Exhibitor estimates.

The uptick in January appears to be borne of several factors: the awards season boost, where nominations for a film can spell an uptick in audience attendance; the aforementioned economy, and the types of film genres that have typically served Hollywood well as fail-safe options regardless of the time of year.  But what is especially intriguing is that the quality and appeal of the films in question were also a key to the success of several January releases.

 


"Gran Torino": Clint Eastwood's Biggest, And For More Than A Few Dollars More

"Gran Torino", a film expected to be nominated for Academy Awards, received no nominations at all yet was Clint Eastwood's most successful film ever as a director and star.  Released in mid-December in New York, Los Angeles and San Francisco and one or two other large media markets in the U.S., and expanded nationwide on January 9, "Gran Torino" is still performing well, having what Hollywood insiders and trade publications commonly refer to as "legs", currently at $146 million and counting in the U.S. and Canada.  The film, about a bitterly racist Korean war veteran forced to look within and examine his bigoted ways when a family of Hmong immigrants move into to suburban Detroit next door to him, will be released on DVD in North America in June. 

Mr. Eastwood plays Walt Kowalsky, a Polish-American man who has an axe to grind against anyone who doesn't look like him.  "Gran Torino" is also doing phenomenal business overseas, where it has something of a sensation in parts of Europe and in the Far East.  Mr. Eastwood is currently in South Africa and various other locations filming what is tentatively titled "The Human Factor", with Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon.  Mr. Freeman is playing former South African president Nelson Mandela, a role he has executed before in a television film.

"Gran Torino" had a melancholy about it.  Mr. Eastwood's film wasn't one you'd expect audiences to escape the economic doldrums for, given its subject matter -- racism, old age, immigration -- all touchy subjects in America, but audiences and critics alike loved the quality of the film and its strong screenplay, written by first-time scriptwriter Nick Schenk.
 



"Paul Blart: Mall Cop" Equaled A Laugh And A Half Plus

"Paul Blart: Mall Cop", released wide in the U.S. and Canada on January 16, was the year's first comedy.  In it, Kevin James (of the television series "The King Of Queens" and the film "I Now Pronounce You Chuck And Larry") plays an over-zealous security guard in a shopping mall.  He takes his job seriously, but the film doesn't - and for audiences the laughs just kept on coming, with Mr. James happily obliging.  The film spent two consecutive weekends at the top of the box office, including its debut weekend.  One can expect that a sequel will no doubt be in the works.  (Interestingly enough, a film also about a letter-of-the law security guard at a mall, "Observe And Report", starring Seth Rogen, will be released this Friday and has already received strong advance buzz from several prominent film critics in the U.S.)  "Paul Blart" is a Sony Pictures release which will outpace all other films released as of late March except "Monsters Vs. Aliens", which after a strong $59.3 million opening for the weekend concluding on March 29 will likely finish in the region of $250-$270 million.  After a poor 2008 which saw two Will Smith films bust critically or commercially ("Hancock" and "Seven Pounds"), Sony has rebounded with "Paul Blart".  Next up for Sony is "Obsessed", a film released by Screen Gems, the studio's specialty division.  ("Obsessed" opens in the U.S. and Canada on April 24.)

In any summer month if one had put "Watchmen" up against "Paul Blart", the overriding consensus would be that the famous graphic novel with an adoring following would easily outpace the comedy film in gross receipts.  But the "Watchmen" opening, while solid for a near-three hour film, was also underwhelming in its U.S.-Canada debut last month.  Mixed to negative reviews of Zack Snyder's film didn't help either and domestically at least, Warner Brothers will end up losing millions on "Watchmen", which will top out at about $115 million in the United States and Canada.  The film to date has grossed a disappointing $105.3 million after four weeks, following its March 6 opening.  By contrast, as of yesterday, in just its tenth day of release, "Monsters Vs. Aliens" has grossed $105.7 million.


The "Taken" Phenomenon

Even more impressive in January was the opening of "Taken", a small-budget, perfunctory action-thriller set in France.  Pierre Morrel's film stars Liam Neeson as a retired U.S. government operative sprung into action after his daughter is kidnapped on the first day of her vacation in Paris.  Mr. Neeson had not been in a leading role in a Hollywood film for sometime, but not only did he excel in the lean, mean drama, he established himself as a credible thinking man's action star, the kind of domain that Harrison Ford once roamed in such films as "Frantic" (also set in France), "Clear And Present Danger" and "Patriot Games". 

"Taken", released by Twentieth Century Fox, has been by far the studio's most successful film in at least two years, grossing $139.4 million as of this writing.  The film was produced by "La Femme Nikita", "The Professional" and "Angel-A" director Luc Besson and opened in North America on January 30, just two days before Super Bowl Sunday, a specific Sunday that traditionally spells weak box office return.  But it was clear that "Taken" was going to exceed expectations, and when raw estimates became final figures the film was number one at box office when February 2 arrived, a day after the great NFL Super Bowl game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Arizona Cardinals.  "Taken" continues to do well, dropping only 27 to 40 percent in successive weekends even as theaters drop the film or add newer films or holdout successes like "Slumdog Millionaire", the winner of eight Academy Awards back in late February and a recent DVD release.  Mr. Morel's film even climbed back up to number two on the U.S.-Canada box office chart in recent weeks and remained in the top ten-grossing films in North America as late as March 30.

(The untimely death last month of Natasha Richardson, the wife of Liam Neeson, may or may not have an affect on any future grosses for Mr. Neeson's film, but it is clear that audiences who saw "Taken" were galvanized by its thrift, simplicity and directness.  The film received mostly positive reviews from some of the nation's top film critics.  "Taken" also stars Maggie Grace, Famke Janssen and Xander Berkeley.)




No April Fool or Buster: A Ferocious "Furious"

With April ushering in more new films, what has also stunned people in Hollywood is the astounding take of "Fast & Furious".  The film franchise had been sagging mightily after an auspicious first film ("The Fast And The Furious") but the return of Vin Diesel and the economic downturn has catapulted it to the 27th highest opening in U.S.-Canada box-office history according to Exhibitor Relations, whose final numbers on "Fast & Furious" will be available later today.  Universal Studios actually revised its report upward for the film for this past weekend, which according to the studio actually grossed $72.5 million, not $71.8 million.  Not only is it the highest opening in the quartet of "Fast/Furious" films, it is also the highest opening in April in North America box office history.

With films typically making 25 to 30% of their total box office gross in one week, "Fast & Furious" is projected to make somewhere between $290 and $320 million in North America alone.  The action film featuring fast cars, drug running, and a fugitive who won't be caught is directed by Justin Lin ("Better Luck Tomorrow") who directed the previous "Furious" film "Tokyo Drift" and will no doubt be sought after for another sequel and other action projects.  "Fast & Furious" made over $100 million worldwide according to Exhibitor.  With no other major blockbuster films in the U.S. and Canada to stand in its way this month until "X-Men Origins: Wolverine" on May 1, Mr. Lin's film is poised to dominate at the top of the domestic box office for at least two or three more weekends.  Even with the start of the new Major League Baseball season in the U.S. and Canada, which began last night and gets underway in earnest today, "Fast & Furious" looks as unstoppable as the cars that screech and burn rubber in the film.  With the Easter holiday coming this weekend, "Fast & Furious" looks like a runaway freight train building more speed as it rumbles along.


Though "Furious" is a film that has stunningly restored a sense of normalcy -- it was expected to top the box office, just not so overwhelmingly -- the January release "Taken" is a film that also stands on its own.  While it is not certain that Mr. Morel's film would have done as well had it been released next month in competition with "Star Trek" or in June with the "Transformers" sequel, it will likely end up being more profitable for Fox than either film at the studio's competitor Paramount because of its small budget.  The success of "Taken" would appear to be a model that Hollywood studio executives can take note of. 

"Paul Blart: Mall Cop" could probably have been a sensation at any time of year, and its star Kevin James has a teddy bearish appeal (from "King Of Queens") that audiences appreciate.  The film will be more profitable than the comedy "I Now Pronounce You Chuck And Larry", the 2007 movie in which Mr. James starred with Adam Sandler, whose last few films have sputtered domestically.  Mr. Sandler is likely to rebound however, with "Funny People", opening in July, directed by Judd Apatow.  Whether Christmas comes this July for Mr. Sandler, once the consistent golden guy of American comedy films, remains to be seen.

One thing's for sure: in January, "Taken" and "Paul Blart: Mall Cop", along with "Gran Torino", took audiences in the U.S. and Canada for a big thrill ride.

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